Skip to main content

Spring Forward, Fall Down? Study Links Daylight Saving Time to Rise in Elderly Bone Breaks

Written by Andrew Le, MD

UpdatedMarch 23, 2024

A recent study published in the medical journal PeerJ has shed light on a surprising connection between Daylight Savings Time (DST) transitions and an increase in femur fractures among Finland's older population. The research team, composed of experts from several Finnish institutions, carefully looked back at health records from 1997 to 2020 to see if the sleep disruption caused by the annual clock changes could potentially lead to more bone breaks.

The study focused on individuals aged 70 or older, who are more susceptible to low-energy falls resulting in femur fractures. This demographic is particularly vulnerable due to factors like reduced bone density and stability. Over the 23-year period investigated, the data collected included an astonishing total of 112,658 femur fractures, tallying to an annual average of 4,694 fractures.

A notable finding from this extensive review was that the number of fractures was higher during the winter months, with an average of 160 to 180 fractures per 100,000 person-weeks, compared to 130 to 150 fractures during the summer months. This seasonal fluctuation indicates that factors like icy conditions and lower activity levels in winter might play a role in the increased fracture rates.

When it came to the effect of DST transitions, the researchers used a statistical approach called negative binomial regression to see if there were more fractures in the weeks following the clock changes compared to other times. Their analysis showed that there might be a slight bump in fracture rates after the spring transition, when people lose an hour of sleep. The incidence rate ratio – a way of comparing the rate of fractures after DST changes to other times – was 1.10 for the Monday following DST in both spring and fall. This indicates a 10% potential increase in fractures on these Mondays, although the confidence intervals suggest this increase is not statistically robust. For the full week following the springtime DST shift, the incidence rate ratio was 1.07, again indicating a possible, but not definitive, uptick in fractures.

In contrast, there was no clear increase in fractures after the fall transition, when people gain an extra hour of sleep. For that week, the incidence rate ratio was 0.97, which could indicate a slight decrease, but again, the confidence intervals signal that this finding is not statistically significant.

To sum up, while the study presents some evidence that suggests DST might lead to a marginal rise in femur fractures, especially after the spring transition, the results are not strong enough to make any definitive claims. Nonetheless, these findings are crucial as they contribute to our understanding of how even small disruptions to our sleep patterns might disproportionately affect the older population. It emphasizes the need for continued research into how modern life's small changes, like adjusting clocks twice a year, can have unexpected ripple effects on public health.

References

Ponkilainen V, Koukkula T, Uimonen M, Mattila VM, Kuitunen I, Reito A. 2022. Daylight savings time transition and the incidence of femur fractures in the older population: a nationwide registry-based study. PeerJ 10:e13672 http://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.13672